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AUSTRALIA
PHOTOVOLTAIC MARKET REPORT: 2008
Market Outcomes;
2009 -2013 Scenario Forecast |
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87
PAGES
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In Australia |
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2.1 Analysis By Market Segments
(a) Residential..................................................................................................................................
(b) Commercial ................................................................................................................................
(c) Utility .......................................................................................................................................
(d) Community/Government................................................................................................................
(e) Industrial ..................................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis by Application Type..........................................................................................................
(a) Off Grid.....................................................................................................................................
(b) On Grid .....................................................................................................................................
2.3
Market Analysis By System Power Size.......................................................................................................
(a)
Small-scale Power Band: <10 kW....................................................................................................
(b) Medium-scale Power Band: 10-100 kW............................................................................................
(c) Large-scale Power Band: 100-1000 kW............................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis by Solar Technology
(a) Photovoltaic (PV) .......................................................................................................................
(b) Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) ..................................................................................................
(c) Solar Thermal Electric (STE)..........................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region .......................................................................................................................
(a)
National market by Region ............................................................................................................
(b)
Residential Market by Region and Prefecture ....................................................................................
2.5 Market Analysis by Region ........................................................................................................................
(a) Australian Capital Territory ........................................................................................................
(b) New South Wales ....................................................................................................................
(c) Northern Territory ...................................................................................................................
(d) Queensland ............................................................................................................................
(e) South Australia........................................................................................................................
(f) Tasmania ...............................................................................................................................
(g) Victoria .................................................................................................................................
(h) Western Australia....................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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3.1 Large and Utility-Scale Planned Generation .................................................................................................
3.2 Rural Market Pricing ...............................................................................................................................
3.3 Residential Market Pricing ........................................................................................................................
3.2 Installed System Pricing...........................................................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment..................................................................................................................
(b) Non-Residential Segment ...........................................................................................................
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background ................................................................................................
4.2 Funding ..............................................................................................................................................
(a) Commonwealth .......................................................................................................................
(b) State/Territory .......................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Distribution Channels and Volumes ................................................................................................
5.2 Project Developers, System Integrators, and
Installers ...............................................................................
(a) Manufacturers .......................................................................................................................
(b) Wholesalers ...........................................................................................................................
(c) Retailers/Installers .................................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast (2009 - 2013) |
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6.1 Global Forecast Scenarios.......................................................................................................................
6.2 Australia Market Demand (2009 - 2013).....................................................................................................
6.3
Demand by Market Segment (2009 - 2013) ................................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment..................................................................................................................
(b)
Commercial .............................................................................................................................
(c)
Utility ....................................................................................................................................
(d)
Industrial ...............................................................................................................................
(e)
Industrial ...............................................................................................................................
6.5
Market Summary...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Segment in 2008.......................................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Customer Type in 2008...............................................................
Figure 3 Residential Market Size in Australia
by Year..........................................................................................
Figure 4 Residential Market Growth Rates in
Australia 2000-2008 .........................................................................
Figure 5 Residential Market Size in 2007 and
2008 by State ................................................................................
Figure 6 Percentage of Newly Installed PV Capacity
by System Size in 2008 ..........................................................
Figure 7 Percentage Residential Market Share
by State......................................................................................
Figure 8 Commonwealth Rebates for PV Systems
Under SHCP and Solar Credits.......................................................
Figure 9 Commonwealth Rebates for PV Systems
Under SHCP and Solar Credits (A$/W)............................................
Figure 10 Government Funds Allocated to Solar
Cities Initiative by City.................................................................
Figure 11 Solar Credit Support for Medium-Scale
PV Systems .............................................................................
Figure 12 Australian Major Utilities Generation
Mix.............................................................................................
Figure 13 RRPGP Systems Installed in 2008 .....................................................................................................
Figure 14 RRPGP Funds and Capacity by State
in 2008.......................................................................................
Figure 15 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Application Surface in 2008 (MW)...............................................
Figure 16 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by System Size in 2008 (%)...........................................................
Figure 17 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by System Size in 2008 (MW).........................................................
Figure 18 Residential Systems Installed in
2007 and 2008 by State.......................................................................
Figure 19 Percent Change from 2007 to 2008
in Residential Market Figures by State................................................
Figure 20 Cost per Watt for Planned Utility-Scale
Generation Projects in Australia...................................................
Figure 21 Percent Difference in Cost of CPV,
STE and PV Projects and Renewable Energy Projects.............................
Figure 22 Installed Rural System Prices in Australia
by Size in 2008......................................................................
Figure 23 2008 Segment Electricity Rates by
State...........................................................................................
Figure 24 Australian Solar Module Distribution
Channels and Volumes in 2008..........................................................
Figure 25 Number of Accredited Installers by
State...........................................................................................
Figure 26 Australian Market Demand Forecast
2009-2013...................................................................................
Figure 27 Balanced Energy Market Forecast.....................................................................................................
Figure 28 Green World Market Forecast...........................................................................................................
Figure 29 Production Led Market Forecast.......................................................................................................
Figure 30 Production Led Market Forecast.......................................................................................................
Figure 31 Residential Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013................................................................................
Figure 32 Commercial Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013...............................................................................
Figure 29 Utility Segment Demand Forecast 2009-2013......................................................................................
Figure 30 Community/Government Segment Demand
Forecast 2009-2013..............................................................
Figure 31 Industrial Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013.................................................................................
Figure 32 Rural Segment Demand Forecast 2009-2013.......................................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table
1 Commercial Segment Projects in Australia in 2008..................................................................................
Table 2 Utility Solar Projects in Australia
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Table 3 State Requirements for NSSP Applications............................................................................................
Table 4 Rural PV Installation in Australia
in 2008 ..............................................................................................
Table 5 On-Grid Ground-Mount Solar Installation
in Australia ..............................................................................
Table 6 On-Grid Roof-Mounted PV Installation
Examples in Australia in 2008/09......................................................
Table 7 SCHP Criteria..................................................................................................................................
Table 8 Solar Credits Multiplier by Year .........................................................................................................
Table 9 Solar Cities Funding and Consortium
Members ......................................................................................
Table 10 Solar Cities Details .......................................................................................................................
Table 11 Renewable Energy Development Initiative
Solar Projects ......................................................................
Table 12 Preliminary Timeline for Solar Flagships
Projects .................................................................................
Table 13 Renewable Energy Target by Year....................................................................................................
Table 14 Australian FITs by State/Territory
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Table 15 Summary of State Statistics and Incentives.......................................................................................
Table 16 Proposed ACT Solar Power Station Timeline
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Table 17 "Tier 1" Solar PV Firms Operating
in Australia......................................................................................
Table 18 Approved PV Modules for Commonwealth
Rebates................................................................................
Table 19 Approved Inverters for Commonwealth
Rebates...................................................................................
Table 20 Selected Australian Wholesalers and
Main Product Lines.......................................................................
Table 21 Selected Accredited Installers by
State (April 2009)............................................................................
Table 22 Australia Market Demand Forecasts
by Scenario .................................................................................
Table 23 Australia Balanced Energy Forecast
2009-2013...................................................................................
Table 24 Australia Green World Forecast 2009-2013.........................................................................................
Table 25 Australia Production Led Forecast
2009-2013.....................................................................................
Table 26 Proposed Utility-Scale PV Installations..............................................................................................
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