China Photovolltaic Markets
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China PV Market 2009
   ISSUE DATE: June 15, 2009
                         CHINA PHOTOVOLTAIC MARKET REPORT:    2008 Market Outcomes;  2009 -2013 Scenario Forecast  
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86 PAGES
1
 Executive Summary

2
 2008 PV Market In China


 2.1 Market Analysis By Application Type.........................................................................................................
            (a) Off-Grid Rural ............................................................................................................................
            (b) Off-Grid Industrial ......................................................................................................................
            (c) On-Grid Ground-Mounted .............................................................................................................
            (d) On-Grid Building-Mounted ............................................................................................................
.
 2.2 Market Analysis By System Power Size......................................................................................................

 2.3 Market Analysis By Region.......................................................................................................................

3
 Market Pricing

 

4
 Policy Environment and PV Funding

 4.1 Economic Policy ...................................................................................................................................

 4.2 Energy Policy .......................................................................................................................................
                 (a) Energy Supply/Demand ..........................................................................................................
                 (b) The Energy Mix ....................................................................................................................
                 (c) Electricity Tariffs ..................................................................................................................

  4.3 Renewable Energy Policy .......................................................................................................................
                 (a) Policy Overview ....................................................................................................................
                 (b) RE Targets ..........................................................................................................................
                 (c) RE Power Purchase ...............................................................................................................

  4.4 National PV Policy ...............................................................................................................................
                 (a) Policy Overview ...................................................................................................................
                 (b) Building-Mounted Systems .....................................................................................................
                 (c) PV Power Purchase ..............................................................................................................
                 (d) Criticisms/Unresolved Issues ..................................................................................................

  4.5 Regional PV Policies & Programs .............................................................................................................
                 (a) Beijing ...............................................................................................................................
                 (b) Guangdong .........................................................................................................................
                 (c) Hainan ...............................................................................................................................
                 (d) Jiangsu ...............................................................................................................................
                 (e) Qinghai ...............................................................................................................................
                 (f) Shandong ............................................................................................................................
                 (g) Shanghai .............................................................................................................................
                 (h) Yunnan ...............................................................................................................................
                  (i) Other regions (Fujian, Hebei, Hubei, Gansu, Shanxi, Sichuan, Tibet, Zhejiang) ..................................

  4.6 National Rural PV Programs ...................................................................................................................
                 (a) The Brightness Program ........................................................................................................
                 (b) The Silk Road and PV Village Programs .....................................................................................
                 (c) REDP .................................................................................................................................
                 (d) CRESP ...............................................................................................................................

5
 Distribution And Marketing


  5.1 Module Distribution Channels....................................................................................................................

  5.2 Major Downstream Firms .........................................................................................................................
                 (a) System Integrators/Installers and Wholesalers .............................................................................
                 (b) Project Developers .................................................................................................................

6
 Market Forecast (2009 - 2013)


  6.1 Global Forecast Scenarios.........................................................................................................................

  6.2 China Market Demand (2009 - 2013)...........................................................................................................
             (a) Balanced Energy Scenario .............................................................................................................
             (b) Green World Scenario ...................................................................................................................
             (c) Production Led Scenario ...............................................................................................................

  6.3 Market Demand by Application Segment (2009 - 2013) .................................................................................
             (a) Off-Grid Rural..............................................................................................................................
             (b) Off-Grid Industrial........................................................................................................................
             (c) On-Grid Building-Mounted..............................................................................................................
             (d) Public and Other Non-Residential Segment........................................................................................

  6.4 Un-risked National Project Pipeline.............................................................................................................

  6.5 Market Summary....................................................................................................................................

 List of Figures
 
 Figure 1 China's PV Market Growth 2004-2008 (MW) ..........................................................................................
 Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity in China by Application (% of 35 MW).................................................................
 Figure 3 Market Application Segment Size (2007-2008).......................................................................................
 Figure 4 The Off-grid Industrial Segment by Application......................................................................................
 Figure 5 Newly Installed Capacity In China by System Size in 2008 (MW) ..............................................................
 Figure 6 Distribution of China's PV Market by Province (MW) ...............................................................................
 Figure 7 Regional Segmentation in China's PV Market in 2008...............................................................................
 Figure 8 Regional Market Splits by Province......................................................................................................
 Figure 9 Installed System Price Range in China (Actual and Proposed Projects).......................................................
 Figure 10 Downstream Sales Channels ............................................................................................................
 Figure 11 China Market Forecast by Scenario ..................................................................................................
 Figure 12 China Market Demand by Segment (Balanced Energy)...........................................................................
 Figure 13 China Market Demand by Segment (Green World).................................................................................
 Figure 14 China Market Demand by Segment (Production Led).............................................................................
 Figure 15 Application Segment Shares in 2008 vs. 2013 (Green World) .................................................................
 Figure 16 China Off-grid Rural Forecast by Scenario (2009-2013).........................................................................
 Figure 17 China Off-Grid Industrial Forecast by Scenario (2009-2013)...................................................................
 Figure 18 On-Grid Ground-mounted Forecast by Scenario (2009-2013) .................................................................
 Figure 19 On-Grid Building-mounted Forecast by Scenario (2009-2013).................................................................
 Figure 20 Global Horizontal Irradiation Yearly Total in kWh/m² in China..................................................................

 List of Tables


 Table 1 The Chinese PV Market 2004-2008 (MW)
.............................................................................................
 Table 2 Major Off-grid SHS Projects in China in 2008 - early 2009 .......................................................................
 Table 3 Major Off-grid Mini-Grid Projects in China in 2008 - early 2009..................................................................
 Table 4 Major On-grid Building-mounted Projects in China in 2008 - early 2009.......................................................
 Table 5 China's Selected Renewable Energy Targets .........................................................................................
 Table 6 Details of China's BIPV Law (2009) .....................................................................................................
 Table 7 Regional PV Program Summary ...........................................................................................................
 Table 8 Kunming's Solar PV Targets ...............................................................................................................
 Table 9 Major System Integrators/Installers in China .........................................................................................
 Table 10 Selected Project Developers in China ................................................................................................
 Table 11 Forecast Scenarios and Key Assumptions ..........................................................................................
 Table 12 Global Pricing Environment 2009-2013 ...............................................................................................
 Table 13 China Market Demand by Segment (Balanced Energy)...........................................................................
 Table 14 China Market Demand by Segment (Green World) ................................................................................
 Table 15 China Market Demand by Segment (Production Led).............................................................................
 Table 16 Unrisked Project Pipeline (PV Project Listing >1 MW).............................................................................
 Table 17 The Provinces of China...................................................................................................................

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China PV Market 2009
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