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ASIA
AND PACIFIC MAJOR PV MARKETS REPORT: 2008
Market Outcomes;
2009 -2013 Scenario Forecast |
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JAPAN
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PAGES
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JAPAN
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J1 - J58
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In Japan |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Customer Type ...........................................................................................................
(a) Residential .................................................................................................................................
(b) New Home Market via Home Builders ...............................................................................................
(c) Commercial/Industrial Segments .....................................................................................................
(d) Public and Other Non-Residential Segments ......................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By Application Surface Type ...............................................................................................
(a) Sloped Rooftop installations ..........................................................................................................
(b) Building Integrated Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV) ...............................................................................
(c) Ground-Mounted Installations ........................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By System Power .............................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region .......................................................................................................................
(a)
National market by Region ............................................................................................................
(b)
Residential Market by Region and Prefecture ....................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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3.1 Module Pricing
(a) Residential Segment ....................................................................................................................
(b) Non-Residential Segment .............................................................................................................
(c) Commercial/Industrial Segments ....................................................................................................
(d) Public and Other Non-Residential Segments .....................................................................................
3.2 Installed System Pricing..........................................................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment....................................................................................................................
(b) Non-Residential Segment .............................................................................................................
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background .................................................................................................
4.2 Funding ...............................................................................................................................................
(a) Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) Programs.................................................................
(b) Ministry of the Environment .........................................................................................................
(c) Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MLIT)
.......................................................................
(d) Regional Funding Programs............................................................................................................
4.3 Electric Utilities Involvement....................................................................................................................
(a) Electricity Rates.........................................................................................................................
(b) Green Power Fund by Electric Utilities ............................................................................................
(c) Renewable Energy Portfolio...........................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Distribution Channels..................................................................................................................
(a) PV Module Markers' Sales/Design Division........................................................................................
(b) Local Electricians/Installers..........................................................................................................
(c) Homebuilders ............................................................................................................................
(d) Regional Electric Contractors/Engineers or System
Engineers .............................................................
(e) General Contractors....................................................................................................................
(f) OEMs or Building Material Integrators .............................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast (2009 - 2013) |
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6.1 Global Forecast Scenarios.....................................................................................................................
6.2 Japan Market Demand (2009 - 2013).......................................................................................................
6.3
Demand by Market Segment (2009 - 2013) ..............................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment..................................................................................................................
(b)
New Home Market via Home Builders ............................................................................................
(c)
Commercial/Industrial Segment ...................................................................................................
(d)
Public and Other Non-Residential Segment.....................................................................................
6.4 Distribution Channels ...........................................................................................................................
6.5 Market Summary..................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity In Japan By
Customer Type In 2008 (%) .........................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity In Japan By
Customer Type in 2007 and 2008 (MW) ..........................................
Figure 3 Quarterly Japan Residential PV System
Sales .....................................................................................
Figure 4 Percentage of Newly Installed PV Capacity
by Application Surface Type .................................................
Figure 5 Percentage of Newly Installed PV Capacity
by System Size in 2008 .......................................................
Figure 6 Percentage of Newly Installed PV Capacity
by System Size in 2008 .......................................................
Figure 7 Percentage of Newly Installed Residential
PV Capacity in Japan by Region in 2007 vs. 2008.........................
Figure 8 Japanese Residential PV Module Pricing
2004-2008 .............................................................................
Figure 9 Japanese Non-Residential Module Prices
by System Size ......................................................................
Figure 10 Japanese Residential Installed System
Pricing ...................................................................................
Figure 11 Japanese Residential PV Installed System
Pricing FY2007 vs. FY2008 ....................................................
Figure 12 Japanese Non-Residential System Prices
by System Size ....................................................................
Figure 13 2008 Number of PV Programs by Region
...........................................................................................
Figure 14 2008 Local Government Residential PV
Subsidy .................................................................................
Figure 15 Japan PV Downstream by Major Channel
Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation
Yearly Total in kWh/m² in Japan ....................................................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table
1 Japanese PV Market Size (MW) 2004-2008 ..........................................................................................
Table 2 2008 Commercial/Industrial PV Projects
above 200 kW ...........................................................................
Table 3 2008 Public PV Projects over 80 kW
...................................................................................................
Table 4 Sloped Rooftop PV Projects Examples
in 2008 ......................................................................................
Table 5 Flat Roof-top PV Projects Examples
in 2008 .........................................................................................
Table 6 Ground-Mounted PV Projects Examples
in 2008 ....................................................................................
Table 7 BIPV Projects Examples in 2008 ........................................................................................................
Table 8 Regional Residential PV System Installation
.........................................................................................
Table 9 Japanese Non-Residential Module Sample
Data ....................................................................................
Table 10 Module Price by Module Manufacturer
and Module Technology ..............................................................
Table 11 METI Requested Funding for PV Related
Programs (in Yen Million) ..........................................................
Table 12 FY2007 METI Field Test - Type of Research
Projects ..........................................................................
Table 13 J-PEC Registered, Program Eligible
PV Modules ...................................................................................
Table 14 MOE Requested Funding for PV Related
Programs (in million Yen) ...........................................................
Table 15 Plan to Install PV on Federal Buildings
..............................................................................................
Table 16 Ten Investor-owned Electric Power
Companies in Japan ......................................................................
Table 17 Residential Seasonal, TOU rates (in
Yen/kWh) ...................................................................................
Table 18 Electric Utilities' Plan for Electricity
Tariff Reduction for May 2009 .........................................................
Table 19 Japan Market Demand Forecast by Scenario
(2008-2013) ....................................................................
Table 20 Japan Market Demand by Segment (2008-2013)
in MW .......................................................................
Table 21 Some Local Subsidy Programs (as of
March 2009) ..............................................................................
Table 22 METI Field Test Selected Projects
over 200 kW .................................................................................
Table 23 Utility "Mega Solar" Plan (as of March
2009) .....................................................................................
Table A1 Scenarios: Key Inputs and Strategic
Outcomes .................................................................................
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CHINA
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C1
- C86
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In China |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Application Type..........................................................................................................
(a) Off-Grid Rural ........................................................................................................................
(b) Off-Grid Industrial ..................................................................................................................
(c) On-Grid Ground-Mounted .........................................................................................................
(d) On-Grid Building-Mounted ........................................................................................................
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2.2 Market Analysis By System Power Size.......................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By Region.......................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic Policy ....................................................................................................................................
4.2 Energy Policy .......................................................................................................................................
(a) Energy Supply/Demand ..........................................................................................................
(b) The Energy Mix ....................................................................................................................
(c)
Electricity Tariffs ..................................................................................................................
4.3 Renewable Energy Policy .......................................................................................................................
(a) Policy Overview ....................................................................................................................
(b) RE Targets ..........................................................................................................................
(c) RE Power Purchase ...............................................................................................................
4.4 National PV Policy ................................................................................................................................
(a)
Policy Overview ....................................................................................................................
(b) Building-Mounted Systems ......................................................................................................
(c) PV Power Purchase ...............................................................................................................
(d) Criticisms/Unresolved Issues ...................................................................................................
4.5 Regional PV Policies & Programs ..............................................................................................................
(a) Beijing ................................................................................................................................
(b) Guangdong ..........................................................................................................................
(c) Hainan ................................................................................................................................
(d) Jiangsu ...............................................................................................................................
(e) Qinghai ...............................................................................................................................
(f) Shandong ............................................................................................................................
(g) Shanghai .............................................................................................................................
(h) Yunnan ...............................................................................................................................
(i)
Other regions (Fujian, Hebei, Hubei, Gansu, Shanxi, Sichuan,
Tibet, Zhejiang) ...................................
4.6 National Rural PV Programs ....................................................................................................................
(a) The Brightness Program .........................................................................................................
(b)
The Silk Road and PV Village Programs ......................................................................................
(c) REDP ..................................................................................................................................
(d) CRESP ................................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Distribution Channels....................................................................................................................
5.2
Major Downstream Firms .........................................................................................................................
(a)
System Integrators/Installers and Wholesalers .............................................................................
(b)
Project Developers .................................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast (2009 - 2013) |
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6.1 Global Forecast Scenarios........................................................................................................................
6.2 China Market Demand (2009 - 2013)..........................................................................................................
(a)
Balanced Energy Scenario ............................................................................................................
(b) Green World Scenario ..................................................................................................................
(c) Production Led Scenario ..............................................................................................................
6.3
Market Demand by Application Segment (2009 - 2013) .................................................................................
(a)
Off-Grid Rural.............................................................................................................................
(b)
Off-Grid Industrial.......................................................................................................................
(c)
On-Grid Building-Mounted.............................................................................................................
(d)
Public and Other Non-Residential Segment.......................................................................................
6.4 Un-risked National Project Pipeline............................................................................................................
6.5 Market Summary....................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 China's PV Market Growth 2004-2008 (MW)
..........................................................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity in China by
Application (% of 35 MW).................................................................
Figure 3 Market Application Segment Size (2007-2008).......................................................................................
Figure 4 The Off-grid Industrial Segment by Application......................................................................................
Figure 5 Newly Installed Capacity In China by
System Size in 2008 (MW) ..............................................................
Figure 6 Distribution of China's PV Market by
Province (MW) ...............................................................................
Figure 7 Regional Segmentation in China's PV
Market in 2008...............................................................................
Figure 8 Regional Market Splits by Province......................................................................................................
Figure 9 Installed System Price Range in China
(Actual and Proposed Projects).......................................................
Figure 10 Downstream Sales Channels ............................................................................................................
Figure 11 China Market Forecast by Scenario ..................................................................................................
Figure 12 China Market Demand by Segment (Balanced
Energy)...........................................................................
Figure 13 China Market Demand by Segment (Green
World).................................................................................
Figure 14 China Market Demand by Segment (Production
Led).............................................................................
Figure 15 Application Segment Shares in 2008
vs. 2013 (Green World) .................................................................
Figure 16 China Off-grid Rural Forecast by Scenario
(2009-2013).........................................................................
Figure 17 China Off-Grid Industrial Forecast
by Scenario (2009-2013)...................................................................
Figure 18 On-Grid Ground-mounted Forecast by
Scenario (2009-2013) .................................................................
Figure 19 On-Grid Building-mounted Forecast by
Scenario (2009-2013).................................................................
Figure 20 Global Horizontal Irradiation Yearly
Total in kWh/m² in China..................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table
1 The Chinese PV Market 2004-2008 (MW) .............................................................................................
Table 2 Major Off-grid SHS Projects in China
in 2008 - early 2009 .......................................................................
Table 3 Major Off-grid Mini-Grid Projects in
China in 2008 - early 2009..................................................................
Table 4 Major On-grid Building-mounted Projects
in China in 2008 - early 2009.......................................................
Table 5 China's Selected Renewable Energy Targets
.........................................................................................
Table 6 Details of China's BIPV Law (2009)
.....................................................................................................
Table 7 Regional PV Program Summary ...........................................................................................................
Table 8 Kunming's Solar PV Targets ...............................................................................................................
Table 9 Major System Integrators/Installers
in China .........................................................................................
Table 10 Selected Project Developers in China
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Table 11 Forecast Scenarios and Key Assumptions
..........................................................................................
Table 12 Global Pricing Environment 2009-2013
...............................................................................................
Table 13 China Market Demand by Segment (Balanced
Energy)...........................................................................
Table 14 China Market Demand by Segment (Green
World) ................................................................................
Table 15 China Market Demand by Segment (Production
Led).............................................................................
Table 16 Unrisked Project Pipeline (Project
Listing >1 MW).................................................................................
Table 17 The Provinces of China...................................................................................................................
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INDIA |
I1
- I86
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In India |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Application Type ..........................................................................................................
(a) Off-Grid Rural ........................................................................................................................
(b) Off-Grid Industrial ..................................................................................................................
(c) On-Grid Ground-Mounted .........................................................................................................
(d) On-Grid Building-Mounted ........................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By System Power Size.......................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By Region .......................................................................................................................
(a) Gujarat ................................................................................................................................
(b) Haryana ...............................................................................................................................
(c) Karnataka ............................................................................................................................
(d) Maharashtra .........................................................................................................................
(e) Rajasthan ............................................................................................................................
(f) West Bengal .........................................................................................................................
(g) Other States (Arunchal Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Assam,
Chandigarh, Chhattisgarh,
Delhi & Gurgaon, Manipur, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Tripura, Uttar
Pradesh) ............................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic Background............................................................................................................................
4.2 Energy Background ..............................................................................................................................
4.3 Renewable Energy Policy........................................................................................................................
4.4 National PV Policy ................................................................................................................................
(a)
Solar Feed-in Tariffs (FITs) ...................................................................................................
(b) PV Rooftops .......................................................................................................................
(c) Other Subsidies ...................................................................................................................
(d) Lobbying ............................................................................................................................
4.5 Regional PV Policies .............................................................................................................................
(a) Gujarat .............................................................................................................................
(b) Haryana ............................................................................................................................
(c) Himachal Pradesh ................................................................................................................
(d) Karnataka ..........................................................................................................................
(e) Maharashtra .......................................................................................................................
(f) Punjab ...............................................................................................................................
(g) Rajasthan ..........................................................................................................................
(h) West Bengal ......................................................................................................................
(i) Other (Andhra Pradesh, Chandigarh, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir,
Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu) ...............
4.6 Governmental PV Programs ...................................................................................................................
(a) MNRE Solar Photovoltaic Program ............................................................................................
(b) Remote Village Electrification (RVE) Program ..............................................................................
(c)
Solar Lantern Mission ............................................................................................................
(d) Akshay Urja Shops ...............................................................................................................
(e) PV in Urban Areas ................................................................................................................
(f) Solar Cities ..........................................................................................................................
(g) Green Buildings ....................................................................................................................
(h) Tail-end Grid-Connected Solar Power Plants ..............................................................................
(i) Telecom ..............................................................................................................................
4.7 Other PV Programs .............................................................................................................................
(a) Light a Billion Lives ...............................................................................................................
(b) Barefoot College - Solar Program .............................................................................................
(c) Other Non-Governmental Programs ..........................................................................................
4.8 Financing Programs ............................................................................................................................
(a) IREDA Interest Subsidy Scheme ..............................................................................................
(b) Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC) ......................................................................................
(c) Micro-finance ......................................................................................................................
(d) Grameen Banks ....................................................................................................................
4.9 Policy Summary .................................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels ........................................................................................................................
5.2 Major Downstream Firms ......................................................................................................................
(a) Major India Based/Headquartered Manufacturers with a Downstream
Presence ................................
(b) Major India Based/Headquartered System Integrators / Installers
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(c) Major India Based/Headquartered Distributors ............................................................................
(d) Major International Companies with a Significant Marketing
Presence in India ...................................
(e) Major India Based/Headquartered Project Developers ..................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Global and Domestic Scenario Assumptions ...............................................................................................
6.2 National Market Demand by Forecast Scenario ...........................................................................................
(a) Balanced Energy Scenario .....................................................................................................
(b) Green World Scenario ...........................................................................................................
(c) Production Led Scenario .......................................................................................................
6.3 National Market Demand by Application Segment ........................................................................................
(a)
Off-Grid Rural ......................................................................................................................
(b) Off-Grid Industrial ................................................................................................................
(c) On-Grid Ground-mounted .......................................................................................................
(d) On-Grid Building-mounted ......................................................................................................
6.4 Un-risked National Project Pipeline ...........................................................................................................
6.5 Conclusion ..........................................................................................................................................
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The
Geography of India |
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Indian PV Market 2004 - 2008 (MW).................................................................................................
Figure 2 India's Off-grid Industrial by Sub-Segment.........................................................................................
Figure 3 Newly Installed Capacity In India By
System Size In 2008 (MW).............................................................
Figure 4 Indian PV Market Size by State in 2008.............................................................................................
Figure 5 Installed System Price Range (2008 actual
and proposed systems).........................................................
Figure 6 India's Electricity Generation Mix (2008)............................................................................................
Figure 7 The National Solar Mission's Cumulative
Installed Capacity Targets by Year (2009-2020) ...........................
Figure 8 Module Sales Channel Flow Chart.....................................................................................................
Figure 9 India Market Forecast by Scenario...................................................................................................
Figure 10 India Market Demand by Segment (Balanced
Energy).........................................................................
Figure 11 India Market Demand by Segment (Green
World)...............................................................................
Figure 12 India Market Demand by Segment (Production
Led)...........................................................................
Figure 13 Application Segment Shares in 2008
vs. 2013 (Green World)...............................................................
Figure 14 India Off-grid Rural Forecast by Scenario
(2009-2013).......................................................................
Figure 15 India Off-Grid Industrial Forecast
by Scenario (2009-2013).................................................................
Figure 16 On-Grid Ground-mounted Forecast by Scenario
(2009-2013)...............................................................
Figure 17 On-Grid Building-mounted Forecast by
Scenario (2009-2013)..............................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 Indian PV Market 2004 - 2008 (MW)..................................................................................................
Table 2 Off-grid Rural Solar Lighting Projects
in 2008.......................................................................................
Table 3 Off-grid Rural Ground-mounted Projects
in 2009...................................................................................
Table 4 Street Lighting/Signalling Projects
in 2008-2009...................................................................................
Table 5 Major On-Grid Building-Mounted Projects
in India in 2008 - early 2009*....................................................
Table 6 PV Projects in Gujarat in 2008..........................................................................................................
Table 7 PV Projects in Haryana in 2008.........................................................................................................
Table 8 PV Projects in Maharashtra in 2008...................................................................................................
Table 9 PV Projects in West Bengal in 2008...................................................................................................
Table 10 National RE Agencies....................................................................................................................
Table 11 MNRE State Nodal Agencies ..........................................................................................................
Table 12 The National Solar Mission's Installed
Capacity Targets by Application (2020)..........................................
Table 13 Summary of Solar Feed-in Tariff Rates
in India...................................................................................
Table 14 The MNRE's Feed-in Tariff Program:.................................................................................................
Table 15 Solar PV State Feed-in Tariffs in
India.............................................................................................
Table 16 State Renewable Portfolio Obligations
(RPO) and Other Targets...........................................................
Table 17 Gujarat Policy Summary................................................................................................................
Table 18 Haryana Policy Summary...............................................................................................................
Table 19 Haryana Rooftop Rebate Program....................................................................................................
Table 20 Himachal Pradesh Policy Summary...................................................................................................
Table 21 Karnataka Policy Summary.............................................................................................................
Table 22 Maharashtra Policy Summary.........................................................................................................
Table 23 Punjab Policy Summary.................................................................................................................
Table 24 Rajasthan Policy Summary.............................................................................................................
Table 25 West Bengal Policy Summary.........................................................................................................
Table 26 Policy Summary for Other States/UTs..............................................................................................
Table 27 MNRE Solar PV Program Details (HAREDA).........................................................................................
Table 28 MNRE Solar PV Program Details (NEDCAP).........................................................................................
Table 29 Maximum CFA Grants under the RVE Program....................................................................................
Table 30 State Policies Summary................................................................................................................
Table 31 Module Manufacturers Active in the
Downstream...............................................................................
Table 32 Major System Integrators / Installers
in the Indian Market...................................................................
Table 33 Major Distributors/Wholesalers in
the Indian Market............................................................................
Table 34 Major International Companies Active
in the Downstream....................................................................
Table 35 Major Project Developers and their
respective Project Pipeline in India...................................................
Table 36 Forecast Scenarios and Key Assumptions
........................................................................................
Table 37 Global Pricing Environment 2009-2013..............................................................................................
Table 38 India Market Forecast by Scenario..................................................................................................
Table 39 India Market Demand by Segment (Balanced
Energy)..........................................................................
Table 40 India Market Demand by Segment (Green
World)................................................................................
Table 41 India Market Demand by Segment (Green
World)................................................................................
Table 42 Unrisked Project Pipeline..............................................................................................................
Table 43 Regions of India...........................................................................................................................
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SOUTH
KOREA |
K1
- K60
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In South Korea |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Application Segment ...................................................................................................
(a)
On-Grid Ground-Mounted ............................................................................................................
(b) On-Grid Building-Mounted ...........................................................................................................
(c) Off-Grid Rural & Industrial ...........................................................................................................
.
2.2 Market Analysis By System Power Size ....................................................................................................
2.3
Market Analysis By Region ....................................................................................................................
.
2.4 Major PV Projects Under Development in 2009 ..........................................................................................
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3
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PV System Installed Pricing |
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic Policy ...................................................................................................................................
4.2 Energy Policy ......................................................................................................................................
4.3 Renewable Energy Policy .......................................................................................................................
4.4 Solar PV Policy and Programs .................................................................................................................
(a) National Feed-in Tariff (FIT) .................................................................................................
(b) Residential PV Systems ........................................................................................................
(c) Public Institution Program .....................................................................................................
(d) Regional Energy Programs .....................................................................................................
(e) Domestic Production ............................................................................................................
(f) Certification .......................................................................................................................
4.5 Policy Summary ..................................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels .........................................................................................................................
5.2 Project Developers, System Integrators and Installers
................................................................................
(a) Domestic Downstream Firms (Ground-Mount) ............................................................................
(b) International Downstream Firms (Ground-Mount) .......................................................................
(c) The Residential Segment .......................................................................................................
5.3 Financiers ..........................................................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast (2009 - 2013) |
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6.1 Global and Domestic Scenarios................................................................................................................
6.2 National Market Demand by Forecast Scenario
..........................................................................................
(a) Balanced Energy Scenario ....................................................................................................
(b) Green World Scenario ..........................................................................................................
(c) Production Led Scenario ......................................................................................................
6.3 National Market Demand by Application Segment
.......................................................................................
(a) On-grid Ground-mounted .....................................................................................................
(b) On-Grid Building-Mounted ....................................................................................................
(c) Off-grid Rural and Industrial .................................................................................................
6.4 Market Summary ................................................................................................................................
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The
Geography Of South Korea |
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 South Korea's PV Market Growth 2004-2008
(MW)................................................................................
Figure 2 South Korea's Feed-in Tariff Installation
Monthly Totals (kW).................................................................
Figure 3 South Korea's Feed-in Tariff Installation
Monthly Totals (#)...................................................................
Figure 4 KRW/USD exchange rate volatility (Jan.
2008 - May, 2009)....................................................................
Figure 5 Newly Installed Capacity in South Korea
by Application.........................................................................
Figure 6 Market Segment Size Movements (2007-2008)....................................................................................
Figure 7 South Korean Feed-in Tariff PV Installations
(2004-2008)......................................................................
Figure 8 South Korea's Off-grid Segment by Application....................................................................................
Figure 9 System Size Analysis by total MW Installed
........................................................................................
Figure 10 System Size Analysis by total number
of Installations..........................................................................
Figure 11 Major PV Markets in Korea in 2008 by
Region ....................................................................................
Figure 12 Major PV Markets in Korea in 2008 (Provinces)...................................................................................
Figure 13 Major PV Markets in Korea in 2008 (Cities)........................................................................................
Figure 14 Installed System Price Range (2008)................................................................................................
Figure 15 South Korea's Renewable Energy Mix
(2008, 2020 & 2030)....................................................................
Figure 16 South Korean FIT Rate Movement by System
Size (after Sept. 2008).....................................................
Figure 17 South Korean Feed-in Tariff PV Installations
(2004-2008).....................................................................
Figure 18 South Korean Module Sales Channel Flow
Chart in 2008........................................................................
Figure 19 South Korea Market Forecast by Scenario.........................................................................................
Figure 20 South Korea Market Demand by Segment
(Balanced Energy).................................................................
Figure 21 South Korea Market Demand by Segment
(Green World).......................................................................
Figure 22 South Korea Market Demand by Segment
(Production Led)...................................................................
Figure 23 Application Segment Shares in 2008
vs. 2013 (Green World).................................................................
Figure 24 Australian Solar Module Distribution
Channels and Volumes in 2008.........................................................
Figure 25 South Korea On-Grid Building-mounted
Forecast by Scenario................................................................
Figure 26 South Korea Off-grid Rural & Industrial
Forecast by Scenario................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 Korean PV Market 2003-2008 (MW).....................................................................................................
Table 2 Ground-mounted Systems Installed in
2008 (>900 kW)............................................................................
Table 3 Illustrative On-grid Building-Mounted
Projects in South Korea...................................................................
Table 4 South Korean FIT Rates (2005-2008)...................................................................................................
Table 5 South Korean FIT Rates (2008-2011)
..................................................................................................
Table 6 South Korean Feed-in Tariff PV Installations
(2004-2008)........................................................................
Table 7 South Korean Feed-in Tariff PV Installations
(2009 year to date)..............................................................
Table 8 Annual Caps for FIT System Connections
(2009-2011)............................................................................
Table 9 One Million Green Homes Program Details...............................................................................................
Table 10 One Million Green Homes' PV Component
(as of June 23, 2008)................................................................
Table 11 One Million Green Homes Program Specifics
for 2009..............................................................................
Table 12 Facilities under the Public Institution
Renewable Obligation Law...............................................................
Table 13 Facility Examples under the Public
Institution Renewable Obligation Law....................................................
Table 14 The MKE's Selected Solar Sector R&D
Firms.........................................................................................
Table 15 South Korean FIT Rates (2008-2011).................................................................................................
Table 16 Major Domestic System Integrators/Installers......................................................................................
Table 17 Major International System integrators/Installers..................................................................................
Table 18 Million Green Homes Certified Installer
List...........................................................................................
Table 19 Forecast Scenarios and Key Assumptions
...........................................................................................
Table 20 South Korea Market Forecast by Scenario...........................................................................................
Table 21 South Korea Market Demand by Segment
(Balanced Energy)...................................................................
Table 22 South Korea Market Demand by Segment
(Green World).........................................................................
Table 23 South Korea Market Demand by
Segment (Production Led).....................................................................
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AUSTRALIA
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A1
- A87
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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2008
PV Market In Australia |
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2.1 Analysis By Market Segments
(a) Residential..................................................................................................................................
(b) Commercial ................................................................................................................................
(c) Utility .......................................................................................................................................
(d) Community/Government................................................................................................................
(e) Industrial ..................................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis by Application Type..........................................................................................................
(a) Off Grid.....................................................................................................................................
(b) On Grid .....................................................................................................................................
2.3
Market Analysis By System Power Size.......................................................................................................
(a)
Small-scale Power Band: <10 kW....................................................................................................
(b) Medium-scale Power Band: 10-100 kW............................................................................................
(c) Large-scale Power Band: 100-1000 kW............................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis by Solar Technology
(a) Photovoltaic (PV) .......................................................................................................................
(b) Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) ..................................................................................................
(c) Solar Thermal Electric (STE)..........................................................................................................
2.5 Market Analysis By Region .......................................................................................................................
(a)
National Market by Region ............................................................................................................
(b)
Residential Market by Region and Prefecture ....................................................................................
2.6 Market Analysis by Region .......................................................................................................................
(a) Australian Capital Territory ........................................................................................................
(b) New South Wales ....................................................................................................................
(c) Northern Territory ...................................................................................................................
(d) Queensland ............................................................................................................................
(e) South Australia........................................................................................................................
(f) Tasmania ...............................................................................................................................
(g) Victoria .................................................................................................................................
(h) Western Australia....................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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3.1 Large and Utility-Scale Planned Generation .................................................................................................
3.2 Rural Market Pricing ...............................................................................................................................
3.3 Residential Market Pricing ........................................................................................................................
3.2 Installed System Pricing...........................................................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment..................................................................................................................
(b) Non-Residential Segment ...........................................................................................................
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4
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Policy
Environment and PV Funding |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background ................................................................................................
4.2 Funding ...............................................................................................................................................
(a) Commonwealth .......................................................................................................................
(b) State/Territory .......................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Distribution Channels and Volumes ................................................................................................
5.2 Project Developers, System Integrators, and
Installers ...............................................................................
(a) Manufacturers .......................................................................................................................
(b) Wholesalers ...........................................................................................................................
(c) Retailers/Installers .................................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast (2009 - 2013) |
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6.1 Global Forecast Scenarios.......................................................................................................................
6.2 Australia Market Demand (2009 - 2013).....................................................................................................
6.3
Demand by Market Segment (2009 - 2013) ................................................................................................
(a)
Residential Segment..................................................................................................................
(b)
Commercial .............................................................................................................................
(c)
Utility ....................................................................................................................................
(d)
Industrial ...............................................................................................................................
(e)
Industrial ...............................................................................................................................
6.4
Market Summary...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Segment in 2008.......................................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Customer Type in 2008...............................................................
Figure 3 Residential Market Size in Australia
by Year..........................................................................................
Figure 4 Residential Market Growth Rates in
Australia 2000-2008 ........................................................................
Figure 5 Residential Market Size in 2007 and
2008 by State ...............................................................................
Figure 6 Percentage of Newly Installed PV Capacity
by System Size in 2008 .........................................................
Figure 7 Percentage Residential Market Share
by State......................................................................................
Figure 8 Commonwealth Rebates for PV Systems
Under SHCP and Solar Credits.......................................................
Figure 9 Commonwealth Rebates for PV Systems
Under SHCP and Solar Credits (A$/W)............................................
Figure 10 Government Funds Allocated to Solar
Cities Initiative by City.................................................................
Figure 11 Solar Credit Support for Medium-Scale
PV Systems .............................................................................
Figure 12 Australian Major Utilities Generation
Mix.............................................................................................
Figure 13 RRPGP Systems Installed in 2008 .....................................................................................................
Figure 14 RRPGP Funds and Capacity by State
in 2008.......................................................................................
Figure 15 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by Application Surface in 2008 (MW)...............................................
Figure 16 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by System Size in 2008 (%)...........................................................
Figure 17 Newly Installed Capacity in Australia
by System Size in 2008 (MW).........................................................
Figure 18 Residential Systems Installed in
2007 and 2008 by State.......................................................................
Figure 19 Percent Change from 2007 to 2008
in Residential Market Figures by State................................................
Figure 20 Cost per Watt for Planned Utility-Scale
Generation Projects in Australia...................................................
Figure 21 Percent Difference in Cost of CPV,
STE and PV Projects and Renewable Energy Projects.............................
Figure 22 Installed Rural System Prices in Australia
by Size in 2008......................................................................
Figure 23 2008 Segment Electricity Rates by
State...........................................................................................
Figure 24 Australian Solar Module Distribution
Channels and Volumes in 2008..........................................................
Figure 25 Number of Accredited Installers by
State...........................................................................................
Figure 26 Australian Market Demand Forecast
2009-2013...................................................................................
Figure 27 Balanced Energy Market Forecast.....................................................................................................
Figure 28 Green World Market Forecast...........................................................................................................
Figure 29 Production Led Market Forecast.......................................................................................................
Figure 30 Production Led Market Forecast.......................................................................................................
Figure 31 Residential Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013................................................................................
Figure 32 Commercial Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013...............................................................................
Figure 29 Utility Segment Demand Forecast 2009-2013......................................................................................
Figure 30 Community/Government Segment Demand
Forecast 2009-2013..............................................................
Figure 31 Industrial Segment Demand Forecast
2009-2013.................................................................................
Figure 32 Rural Segment Demand Forecast 2009-2013.......................................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table
1 Commercial Segment Projects in Australia in 2008..................................................................................
Table 2 Utility Solar Projects in Australia
........................................................................................................
Table 3 State Requirements for NSSP Applications............................................................................................
Table 4 Rural PV Installation in Australia
in 2008 ..............................................................................................
Table 5 On-Grid Ground-Mount Solar Installation
in Australia ..............................................................................
Table 6 On-Grid Roof-Mounted PV Installation
Examples in Australia in 2008/09......................................................
Table 7 SCHP Criteria..................................................................................................................................
Table 8 Solar Credits Multiplier by Year .........................................................................................................
Table 9 Solar Cities Funding and Consortium
Members ......................................................................................
Table 10 Solar Cities Details .......................................................................................................................
Table 11 Renewable Energy Development Initiative
Solar Projects ......................................................................
Table 12 Preliminary Timeline for Solar Flagships
Projects .................................................................................
Table 13 Renewable Energy Target by Year....................................................................................................
Table 14 Australian FITs by State/Territory
...................................................................................................
Table 15 Summary of State Statistics and Incentives.......................................................................................
Table 16 Proposed ACT Solar Power Station Timeline
.......................................................................................
Table 17 "Tier 1" Solar PV Firms Operating
in Australia......................................................................................
Table 18 Approved PV Modules for Commonwealth
Rebates................................................................................
Table 19 Approved Inverters for Commonwealth
Rebates...................................................................................
Table 20 Selected Australian Wholesalers and
Main Product Lines.......................................................................
Table 21 Selected Accredited Installers by
State (April 2009).............................................................................
Table 22 Australia Market Demand Forecasts
by Scenario .................................................................................
Table 23 Australia Balanced Energy Forecast
2009-2013...................................................................................
Table 24 Australia Green World Forecast 2009-2013.........................................................................................
Table 25 Australia Production Led Forecast
2009-2013.....................................................................................
Table 26 Proposed Utility-Scale PV Installations...............................................................................................
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