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EUROPEAN
PV MARKETS 2009 REPORT: 2008
Market Outcomes;
2009 -2013 Scenario Forecast |
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PAGES
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GERMANY
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Germany |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Customer Type
(a) Residential ...................................................................................................................................
(b) Agricultural ..................................................................................................................................
(c) Commercial ..................................................................................................................................
(d) Government/Utility ........................................................................................................................
(e) Investor Groups ............................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By Application Surface Type .................................................................................................
(a) Rooftop Installations ......................................................................................................................
(b) Building Integrated Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV) .................................................................................
(c) Ground-Mounted Installations ..........................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By System Power ...............................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region .........................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy and Political Background ...................................................................................................
4.2 Funding
(a) Federal Funding .......................................................................................................................
(b) The Renewable Energy Act ........................................................................................................
(i) Feed-In Tariff Rates Between 2004 And 2008 ......................................................................
(ii) Revision Of The Renewable Energy Act With Effect From
January 1, 2009 .................................
(c) Loan Finance Programs .............................................................................................................
(i) Loans from the KfW Bank .................................................................................................
(ii) Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank .......................................................................................
(iii) Umweltbank .................................................................................................................
(d) State Funding Schemes .............................................................................................................
(i)
Hamburg .......................................................................................................................
(ii)
North-Rhine-Westphalia ..................................................................................................
(iii) Rhineland-Palatinate ......................................................................................................
(iv) Saarland .....................................................................................................................
(v) Capital Investment Subsidy Law ......................................................................................
(vi) Funding By Local Authorities And Utilities ..........................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels ..............................................................................................................................
(a) Increasing Export Activities ........................................................................................................
(b) Feeling The Financial Strain ........................................................................................................
(c) Movements at the Manufacturer/Downstream Interface ...................................................................
(d) Electricity output warranties ......................................................................................................
(e) Technology Development To Aid The Downstream Market
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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The
Geography of Germany |
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By Customer Type In 2008 (%)...........................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By Customer Type In 2007 And 2008 ...................................................
Figure 3 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By Application Surface In 2008 (%)......................................................
Figure 4 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By Application Surface In 2007 And 2008 (MW)......................................
Figure 5 Newly Installed Ground-Mounted System
Capacity In Germany By Type In 2007 And 2008 (%)..........................
Figure 6 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By System Size In 2008 (%)................................................................
Figure 7 Newly Installed Capacity In Germany
By System Size In 2007 And 2008 (MW) ...............................................
Figure 8 Cell Technology Breakdown Of Systems
Above 1 MW Installed In Germany In 2007 And 2008 (%) .....................
Figure 9 PV Financing Volume By KfW Banks By
German States Between 2006 And 2008...............................................
Figure 10 Identified Newly Installed Capacity
Of Systems Above 1 MW In Germany By State In 2007 And 2008
(MW)........
Figure 11 Turnkey Project Pricing Examples in
Germany 2008 to Early 2009................................................................
Figure 12 Prices Of Installed Systems Of Up To
10 kW In Germany: 2007 to Mid-2009 ................................................
Figure 13 German Solar Module Distribution Channels
In 2008 (2007)........................................................................
Figure 14 Germany PV Market Demand (2008-2013)..............................................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 German PV Market 2004-2008 (MW)......................................................................................................
Table 2 Illustrative Agricultural Segment
Projects In Germany In 2008 ....................................................................
Table 3 Commercial Segment Project Examples
In Germany In 2008 And Early 2009...................................................
Table 4 Government/Utility Project Examples
In Germany In 2007 ..........................................................................
Table 5 Investor Group Driven Project
Examples In Germany In 2008 And Early 2009..................................................
Table 6 Roof-Mounted PV Installation
Examples In Germany In 2008 And Early 2009..................................................
Table 7 Large Fixed Ground-Mounted PV
Project Examples In Germany In 2008 and Early 2009....................................
Table 8 Large Tracking System PV Project
Examples In Germany In 2008 and Early 2009............................................
Table 9 German Feed-in Tariffs for Photovoltaics
from 2004 to 2008 in €/kWh..........................................................
Table 10 German Feed-in Tariffs for Photovoltaics
in €/kWh From January 1, 2009*...................................................
Table 11 Target Growth Path For The German
PV Market Under The Amended EEG....................................................
Table 12 Summary of Loan Programs Available
For PV Installations between 2007 And 2009........................................
Table 13 Summary of Federal State Funding
Programs 2007 and 2008.....................................................................
Table 14 2008/Early 2009 Module Supply
Contracts.............................................................................................
Table 15 Major German Downstream Companies
.................................................................................................
Table 16 Germany Market Demand Forecast
by Scenario (2008-2013).....................................................................
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ITALY
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Italy |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Customer Type ..............................................................................................................
(a) Residential
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(b) Agricultural .......................................................................................................................
(c) Commercial .......................................................................................................................
(d) Government/Utility .............................................................................................................
(e) Investor Groups .................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By Application Surface Type ................................................................................................
(a) Rooftop Installations ..........................................................................................................
(b) Building-Integrated Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV)
(c) Ground-Mounted Installations ...............................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By System Power ...............................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region .........................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background....................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding..............................................................................................................................................
(a)
Feed-in Tariff Program........................................................................................................................
(b)
Recent Changes To The Scambio sul Posto on January 1, 2009..................................................................
(c)
Regional Funding Schemes..................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels ..............................................................................................................................
5.2 Illustrative Module Supply Deals ..................................................................................................................
5.3 Project Developers, System Integrators and Installers
....................................................................................
(a)
Foreign Companies Entering The Market ..........................................................................................
(b) Movements at the Manufacturer/Downstream Interface .....................................................................
(c) Franchised Installer Networks .......................................................................................................
(d) Financing ..................................................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast.................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity By Customer
Type In Italy In 2008 (% Of MW).....................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity In Italy By
Application Type In 2008 (%) ............................................................
Figure 3 Percentage Of Newly Connected Capacity
In Italy By System Size In 2008 (%)............................................
Figure 4 Percentage Of Newly Connected Capacity
In Italy By System Size In Q1 2009.............................................
Figure 5 Newly Connected PV Capacity In Italy
By Region In 2008 (%)...................................................................
Figure 6 Newly Connected PV Capacity In Italy
By Region In Q1 2009 (%)..............................................................
Figure 7 Italian Solar Module Distribution Channels
In 2008..................................................................................
Figure 8 Italy PV Market Demand (2008-2013) ..................................................................................................
Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation Yearly Total
in kWh/m² in Italy.....................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 Italian PV Market 2004-2008 (MW)........................................................................................................
Table 2 Rooftop PV Project Examples In
Italy In 2008 And Early 2009.....................................................................
Table 3 BIPV Projects In Italy In 2008
And Early 2009.........................................................................................
Table 4 Fixed Ground-Mounted PV Projects
Examples In Italy In 2008 and Early 2009................................................
Table 5 Tracking System Projects Examples
In Italy In 2008 and Early 2009............................................................
Table 6 Italian Incentive Tariffs from
February 2007 ..........................................................................................
Table 7 Illustrative Module Supply Contracts
2008-09.........................................................................................
Table 8 Major Italian Downstream Companies....................................................................................................
Table 9 Italy Market Demand Forecast by Scenario
(2008-2013)......................................................................
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SPAIN
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Spain |
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background ....................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding ..............................................................................................................................................
(a) Feed-In Tariff Program ....................................................................................................................
4.3 The New Royal Decree................................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels ..............................................................................................................................
5.2 Module Supply Contracts (2008 - 1H 2009)....................................................................................................
5.3 Project Developers, System Integrators and Installers......................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Monthly Annual Grid Connections Data
In 2006, 2007 and 2008...................................................................
Figure 2 Spanish PV Market Versus Recorded Grid
Connections From 2006 To 2008 ....................................................
Figure 3 Newly Installed Capacity In Spain By
Customer Type 2008 (%)...................................................................
Figure 4 Newly Installed Capacity In Spain By
Application Type In 2008 (%).............................................................
Figure 5 Newly Installed Capacity In Spain By
System Size In 2006, 2007 and 2008....................................................
Figure 6 Average Size Of Newly Installed Systems
In Spain 2006-2008 (MW) ............................................................
Figure 7 Newly Connected Capacity In Spain By
Region In 2007 And 2008 (%) ..........................................................
Figure 8 Growth Rates And Connected Capacity
In The Largest Spanish Regional .......................................................
Figure 9 Spanish Solar Module Distribution Channels
In 2008 ..................................................................................
Figure 10 Spain PV Market Demand (2008-2013)
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Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation Yearly
Total in kWh/m² in Germany ................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 Spanish PV Market 2004-2008 (MW).......................................................................................................
Table 2 Examples Of Rooftop PV Projects Installed
In Spain In 2008 And Early 2009....................................................
Table 3 Examples Of BIPV Projects Installed In
Spain In 2008 And Early 2009............................................................
Table 4 Examples Of Fixed Ground-Mounted PV Projects
Installed In Spain In 2008 And Early 2009................................
Table 5 Examples Of Tracking System PV Projects
Installed In Spain In 2008 And Early 2009........................................
Table 6 Pricing Differentials Between Germany
And Spain In 2008 and Early 2009.......................................................
Table 7 Pricing Differentials Between Germany
And Spain In 2008 and Early 2009.......................................................
Table 8 Feed-In Tariffs for Grid-Connected Photovoltaics
in Spain for the First Two Trimesters of 2009..........................
Table 9 Planned Timeframe For Calls For Installation
Permits...................................................................................
Table 10 Illustrative Module Supply Contracts
2008-09.........................................................................................
Table 11 Major Downstream Companies In Spain..................................................................................................
Table 12 Spain Market Demand Forecast by Scenario
(2008-2013)..........................................................................
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FRANCE
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In France |
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2.1 Market Analysis By Customer Type ...............................................................................................................
(a) Residential ....................................................................................................................................
(b) Agricultural ....................................................................................................................................
(c) Commercial ....................................................................................................................................
(d) Government/Utility ..........................................................................................................................
(e) Investor Groups ..............................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By Application Surface Type ...................................................................................................
(a) Rooftop Installations ........................................................................................................................
(b) Building Integrated Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV) ...................................................................................
(c) Ground-Mounted Installations ............................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By System Power .................................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region ...........................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background .....................................................................................................
4.2 Funding ...................................................................................................................................................
(a) Feed-In Tariff Program .....................................................................................................................
(b) Tender for Ground-Mounted Systems ..................................................................................................
(c) Tax Credits, VAT Reduction And Accelerated Depreciation
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(d) Regional Funding .............................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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5.1 Module Sales Channels ...............................................................................................................................
5.2 Project Developers, System Integrators and Installers
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5.3 Downstream Market Trends .........................................................................................................................
(a) Product development ....................................................................................................................
(b) Large Ground-Mounted Systems ......................................................................................................
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Newly Installed Capacity In France By
Customer Group In 2008 (%) .............................................................
Figure 2 Newly Installed Capacity In France By
Application Surface In 2008 (%) ........................................................
Figure 3 Newly Installed Capacity In France By
System Size In 2008 (MW) ...............................................................
Figure 4 PV Capacities In France By Regions:
Cumulative Connected vs. In The Pipeline
At The End Of 2008 (%) ......................................................................................................................
Figure 5 France PV Market Demand (2008-2013)
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Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation Yearly
Total in kWh/m² in France ...................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 French PV Market 2004-2008 (MW) ........................................................................................................
Table 2 Rooftop Project Examples In France In
2008 And Early 2009 .......................................................................
Table 3 BIPV Project Examples In France In 2008
And Early 2009 ...........................................................................
Table 4 PV Ground-Mounted Project Examples In
France In 2008 And Early 2009 .......................................................
Table 5 Summary Of Feed-in Tariffs Rates in France
............................................................................................
Table 6 Organisation Of The Tender By Geographical
Areas....................................................................................
Table 7 Summary Of Regional And Local Funding
Schemes In France .......................................................................
Table 8 Illustrative Module Supply Contracts
2008-2009 .......................................................................................
Table 9 Major French Downstream Companies .....................................................................................................
Table 10 Examples of Projects Planned for 2009-2010
..........................................................................................
Table 11 France Market Demand Forecast by Scenario
(2008-2013) .......................................................................
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GREECE
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Greece |
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2.1 The Emerging Market: The "PV Plant Development
Plan" ...................................................................................
(a) Applications For
PV Installations .............................................................................................................
(b) The Permitting Process
.........................................................................................................................
2.2 Market Analysis By Application Surface Type .................................................................................................
(a) Rooftop Installations ......................................................................................................................
(b) Building Integrated Photovoltaic Systems (BIPV) .................................................................................
(c) Ground-Mounted Installations ..........................................................................................................
2.3 Market Analysis By System Power ...............................................................................................................
2.4 Market Analysis By Region .........................................................................................................................
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4. Funding And Political Conditions ....................................................................................................................
4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background ....................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding ..............................................................................................................................................
(a) Feed-In Tariff Program ............................................................................................................................
(b) Grants and other Incentives for
PV Systems for Commercial Applications ..........................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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The
Geography of Greece |
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 PV Capacity For Systems Up To 150 kW In Operation
In Greece By Region......................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 PV Market In Greece 2004-2008 (MW)
....................................................................................................
Table 2 PV Project Examples In Greece In 2008
And 2009 ......................................................................................
Table 3 Schedule For Cumulative PV Installation
Licensing For The Greek Mainland .....................................................
Table 4 Regional Allocation Of PV Installations
On The Greek Mainland And
Interconnected
Islands According To The Amended PV Development Plan* ....................................................
Table 5 System Size Breakdown Of Applications
For PV Installations Above 20 kW ......................................................
In
Greece By January, 23, 2008 vs Allowed Capacity By 2010 ......................................................................
Table 6 Exemptions For PV Installations
Between 20 And 150 kW By November 13, 2007* ...........................................
Table 7 Summary of Permitting Requirements
in Greece .........................................................................................
Table 8 Timetable for Operations Required
for Implementing PV Systems ..................................................................
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BELGIUM
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Belgium |
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background.......................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding.................................................................................................................................................
(a)
National Funding .................................................................................................................................
(b)
Funding in Flanders..............................................................................................................................
(c)
Funding in the Walloon Region................................................................................................................
(d)
Funding in the Brussels Region................................................................................................................
(e)
Local Funding......................................................................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Belgium PV Market
Demand (2008-2013) ..............................................................................................
Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation
Yearly Total in kWh/m² in Belgium .................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 PV Projects in Belgium in 2008
and 2009 .................................................................................................
Table 2 Prices For Installed Systems In
Belgium By Size In 2008 And Q1 2009 ...........................................................
Table 3 Major PV Companies Based In Belgium
....................................................................................................
Table 4 Belgium Market Demand Forecast
by Scenario (2008-2013) ........................................................................
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BULGARIA
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market in Bulgaria |
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1
Economic, Energy And Political Background......................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding................................................................................................................................................
(a)
Feed-in tariff program..........................................................................................................................
(b)
Grants and other incentives for PV systems.............................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 Bulgaria PV Market Demand (2008-2013)................................................................................................
Figure A1 Global Horizontal Irradiation
Yearly Total in kWh/m² in Bulgaria.................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 PV Projects In Bulgaria In 2008
and Early 2009..........................................................................................
Table 2 Bulgarian Feed-In Tariffs For Solar
PV Systems For 2008 and 2009 in €/kWh...................................................
Table 3 Bulgaria Market Demand Forecast
by Scenario (2008-2013).........................................................................
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CZECH
REPUBLIC |
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market in Czech Republic |
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1
Economic, Energy And Political Background.....................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding...............................................................................................................................................
(a)
Feed-in tariff program.........................................................................................................................
(b)
Grants and other incentives for PV systems............................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook..............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast...................................................................................................................................
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List
of Figures |
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Figure 1 The Geography of the Czech Republic.....................................................................................................
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List
of Tables |
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Table 1 PV Projects In The Czech Republic
In 2008 and Early 2009..........................................................................
Table 2 PV Feed-in Tariffs And Green Premiums
In The Czech Republic.....................................................................
Table 3 Major PV Companies Based In The
Czech Republic.....................................................................................
Table 4 Czech Republic Market Demand Forecast
by Scenario (2008-2013)...............................................................
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PORTUGAL
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1
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Executive
Summary |
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2
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PV
Market In Portugal |
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3
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Market Pricing |
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4
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Funding
And Political Conditions |
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4.1 Economic, Energy And Political Background ....................................................................................................
4.2 PV Funding ..............................................................................................................................................
(a) Feed-in Tariff Program ...........................................................................................................................
(b) Producer-Consumer Framework ................................................................................................................
(c) Microgeneration Law ..............................................................................................................................
(d) Grants And Other Incentives For
PV Systems .............................................................................................
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5
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Distribution
And Marketing |
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6
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Market
Forecast |
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6.1 Market Demand Outlook.............................................................................................................................
6.2 PV Market Forecast..................................................................................................................................
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Appendix
1 - The Geography of Portugal |
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Appendix
2 - Solarbuzz Five-Year Forecast Scenarios (2009-2013) |
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List
of Tables |
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SMALL
EMERGING MARKETS |
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.. |
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Executive
Summary |
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Austria |
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Cyprus |
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Luxembourg |
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The
Netherlands |
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Slovakia |
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Switzerland |
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Turkey
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United
Kingdom |
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LIST
OF TABLES |
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Table
1 Austrian Incentive Tariffs for PV ............................................................................................................
Table 2 Cypriot Grants And Feed In Tariffs
For Photovoltaic Systems ......................................................................
Table 3 PV Projects In Luxembourg In 2008
and Early 2009 ...................................................................................
Table 4 Feed-In Tariffs In Luxembourg 2008-2012
...............................................................................................
Table 5 Swiss Base Tariffs For Photovoltaics
For 2008, 2009 And 2010.....................................................................
Table 6 Major Projects in the UK In 2008
And Early 2009 ......................................................................................
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